What is Inflation?
Inflation means prices going up over time.
More precisely: the same amount of money buys you less stuff than before.
Simple example:
- 2015: ₹100 bought you 2 liters of milk
- 2025: ₹100 buys you 1.5 liters of milk
Same money. Less milk. That's inflation.
Real-life shocker: Mumbai rent for a 1BHK in Andheri:
- 2005: ₹8,000/month
- 2025: ₹35,000/month
Same flat. 4.4x increase. Your salary didn't grow 4.4x, did it?
Why Inflation Happens
1. Demand vs Supply
When more people want something but there's limited supply, prices go up.
COVID example: Hand sanitizers jumped from ₹50 to ₹500 for 100ml. Everyone wanted it. Supply couldn't keep up.
Onion crisis: When crops fail, prices shoot from ₹20/kg to ₹80/kg. Less availability = higher price.
2. Cost Increases
When production becomes expensive, companies pass costs to you.
Fuel chain reaction:
- Diesel price increases → Truck transport becomes expensive
- Everything gets costlier (vegetables, electronics, furniture)
- You pay more for the same tomatoes
3. Money Supply
When government prints too much money, each rupee becomes less valuable.
Simple logic: If everyone in your colony suddenly got ₹10 lakh cash, would the grocery store keep prices same? No. The shopkeeper knows everyone has more money, so prices go up.
How Inflation Is Measured in India
CPI (Consumer Price Index)
This tracks how much a typical household's monthly expenses have increased.
What's included:
- Food (45% weightage) - vegetables, grains, milk
- Housing (10%) - rent, maintenance
- Fuel & electricity (7%)
- Clothing, education, healthcare, transport
What "6% inflation" actually means:
- Last year: Monthly groceries = ₹10,000
- This year: Same groceries = ₹10,600
- You're paying ₹600 more for exact same items
Reality check: Official CPI says 6%. But YOUR personal inflation might be 10-12% because school fees increase 10% annually, health insurance jumps 15%, metro rent rises 8%.
Your lived experience ≠ government statistics.
Why Inflation Matters to You
1. Impact on Savings
Brutal math:
- ₹10 lakh in savings account (3% interest)
- Inflation = 6%
- Real return = 3% - 6% = -3%
- Your money loses 3% value yearly
After 10 years, ₹10 lakh's buying power becomes only ₹7.4 lakh.
True story: Someone kept ₹5 lakh cash from 1995 to 2025. Still ₹5 lakh in notes. But in 1995, it could buy a 2BHK flat. In 2025, it can't buy a bike. Inflation destroyed 90% of value.
2. Impact on Salary
Your salary must beat inflation or you're getting poorer.
Example:
- 2023: Salary = ₹50,000, inflation = 6%
- 2024: You got 5% hike → ₹52,500
- But inflation was 6% → You lost 1% purchasing power
If salary grows 7% but inflation is 6%, you're only growing 1% in real terms.
3. Impact on Daily Expenses
Then vs Now:
- Milk (1L): ₹25 (2010) → ₹65 (2025) = 160% increase
- Petrol: ₹50 → ₹100+ = 100% increase
- Movie ticket: ₹120 → ₹250 = 108% increase
- School fees: ₹25,000 → ₹75,000 = 200% increase
Painful truth: Your parents raised kids on ₹15,000/month in 2000. Try that today. Impossible.
Inflation vs Interest Rates
Why RBI Raises Rates
When inflation exceeds 6%, RBI increases interest rates to cool it down.
Process:
- RBI raises repo rate
- Banks raise loan rates
- People borrow less → Spend less → Demand drops → Prices stabilize
Real example: 2022 inflation hit 7.8%. RBI hiked rates from 4% to 6.5%. Home loan EMIs increased. People cut spending. Inflation fell to 5.5% by 2024.
Impact on Loans and FDs
Home loan pain:
- ₹50 lakh loan, 20 years
- Rate jumps 7% to 9%
- Monthly EMI: ₹38,765 → ₹44,986
- That's ₹6,221 extra/month
FD benefit:
- 2021: FD rates = 5-5.5%
- 2023: FD rates = 7-7.5%
But: Inflation was 6-7%, so real return = only 0.5-1.5%. FDs barely preserve value.
How Inflation Affects Investments
Cash - Worst Performer
Keeping ₹10 lakh cash for 10 years = financial suicide.
At 6% inflation, it becomes worth ₹5.58 lakh in real terms.
Fixed Deposits - Barely Better
Math:
- FD return: 7%
- Tax (30% slab): Post-tax = 4.9%
- Inflation: 6%
- Real return: -1.1%
You're losing money, just slower than cash.
Equity - Only Long-Term Winner
Historical data (30 years):
- Sensex CAGR: ~14%
- Inflation: ~6%
- Real return: ~8%
₹10 lakh invested in 1995 Sensex = ₹2.1 crore today. Same in FDs = ₹50 lakh (real value after inflation = ₹13 lakh only).
Disclaimer: Equity has risk. Markets crash. But over 15-20 years, equity beats inflation. FDs don't.
Common Inflation Myths
Myth 1: "Inflation is always bad"
Wrong.
Moderate inflation (4-6%) is healthy. It encourages spending, signals demand, supports growth.
Bad inflation: Below 2% (stagnation) or above 8% (pain).
Myth 2: "Saving cash is safest"
Dangerously wrong.
Cash is least safe against inflation.
10-year comparison at 6% inflation:
- ₹10 lakh cash → Real value = ₹5.58 lakh
- ₹10 lakh FD at 7% → Real value = ₹6.14 lakh
- ₹10 lakh Nifty 50 at 12% → Real value = ₹17.3 lakh
Cash lost most. Equity won.
Myth 3: "Inflation doesn't affect me"
Everyone is affected:
- Students: Tuition rises 8-10% yearly
- Renters: Rent increases every renewal
- Parents: Education, healthcare costs explode
- Retirees: Fixed pension loses value
Example: Dad retired in 2015 with ₹30,000/month pension. Comfortable then. In 2025, same ₹30,000 buys 40% less. Struggling now.
What Can Individuals Do About Inflation?
1. Awareness
Track your expenses. Calculate your personal inflation rate.
Example:
- 2023: ₹40,000/month
- 2024: ₹44,500/month
- Your inflation: 11.25%
Awareness helps planning.
2. Long-Term Investing Mindset
Accept cash loses value. Whether you're starting with a ₹50,000 salary or more, some equity exposure is necessary to beat inflation over 10-20 years.
3. Avoid Panic Decisions
Don't:
- Hoard cash during inflation spikes
- Stop SIPs in panic
- Make drastic changes overnight
Do:
- Review budget
- Cut unnecessary expenses
- Continue long-term investments
- Stay calm
Bottom Line
What inflation is: The invisible thief reducing your money's buying power over time.
Why it exists: Demand-supply gaps, rising costs, money supply expansion. Normal feature of growing economies.
Why you must understand it: If you ignore inflation, you'll save hard and still end up poorer in real terms.
The harsh truth:
- Cash loses to inflation (always)
- FDs barely tie (after tax, you lose)
- Equity beats inflation (with volatility)
Your ₹10 lakh today = ₹5.5 lakh in 10 years if left idle.
Understand inflation. Respect its power. Plan accordingly.